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As a major in the army reserves who served in the prestigious Sayeret Matkal unit, then made a fortune in Israel’s booming technology industry, Mr. Bennett embodies one popular vision of today’s Zionist ideal.
JERUSALEM — Naftali Bennett is not a serious contender to be Israel’s next prime minister. He has never held elective office, and the faction he represents currently fills five or seven of Parliament’s 120 seats, depending on how you count.
Yet Mr. Bennett, 40, has emerged a month ahead of the Jan. 22 national elections as perhaps the campaign’s most dynamic and influential factor. Newspaper polls show his revamped Jewish Home party poised to become the third largest in the next Parliament with up to 15 seats, and analysts say Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is running scared as Mr. Bennett’s appealing biography and far-right platform combine to lure voters away from Mr. Netanyahu’s dominant Likud-Beiteinu ticket.
While the prime minister is still widely expected to serve another term, the Bennett phenomenon could transform his governing coalition, balancing — or replacing — the power of the ultra-Orthodox parties with the more nationalist, modern religious sector that has been fractured and weak in the political sphere for decades. Other modern-Orthodox candidates are also ranked high on rival parties’ slates, ensuring their significant numbers in the next Parliament.
“We’re talking about political expression of sociological change in Israeli society,” said Yedidia Z. Stern, a law professor and vice president of the Israel Democracy Institute, a nonpartisan research group. Noting that so-called religious Zionists are ever more prominent in Israel’s military, news media, science and business, Mr. Stern said: “Whatever issue you raise that is a major issue for the state of Israel, the national-religious community has a view that is basically driving the discourse. Bennett is representing it in politics.”
The political tensions over Mr. Bennett’s ascendance intensified in recent days, when Mr. Netanyahu seized on Mr. Bennett’s comment that, as a reserve officer in the Israeli Army, he would refuse an order to evacuate a Jewish settlement in the West Bank on ideological grounds. The prime minister said someone who would refuse had no place in his government. Mr. Bennett quickly recanted, but the attacks have continued.
“Here you see for the first time Netanyahu is really fighting in a serious way someone from the right,” Mr. Stern observed. “I see a real chance that the new coalition will be based on a different kind of transaction.”
Mr. Bennett’s new prominence is one of several forces pushing Mr. Netanyahu rightward. After merging with the ultranationalist Yisrael Beiteinu party, Likud yielded in its primary a far more conservative list than its current Parliament membership, ousting three respected moderates. At the official campaign kickoff on Tuesday evening, there was no mention of a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict — which Mr. Netanyahu has supported — and it is unclear whether the idea will be included in the party platform.
As a major in the army reserve who served in the prestigious Sayeret Matkal unit, then made a fortune in Israel’s booming technology industry, Mr. Bennett embodies one popular vision of today’s Zionist ideal. He wears the knitted kippa that is the religious-Zionist signature but lives in the affluent town of Raanana, north of Tel Aviv — and not in a West Bank settlement — because, he said, his wife is secular.
They have four children, ages 7 to 1, and Mr. Bennett has said he does not believe a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is achievable in their lifetime.
So, instead of peace, he talks about annexation — as in, Israel should annex the nearly two-thirds of the West Bank known as Area C, which is home to 350,000 Jewish settlers. In his view, the Palestinians who live there — estimates range from Mr. Bennett’s 48,000 to the United Nations’ 150,000 — could then apply for Israeli citizenship, akin to those who live within Israel’s 1948 borders. Then he would try to remove checkpoints to ease traffic and movement throughout the region, and, he said in a recent interview, “make a grocery list of 20 things we could do to make life better” for both Jews and Palestinians living in the territory.
“Forget whether it’s right or wrong; we’re here to stay, now what can we do about it?” he said. “To strive for perfection brings disaster again and again. It’s time for new thinking.
“What do we do in the long term?” he asked, then answered in a way unusual for a politician: “I don’t know.”
The son of San Francisco Bay Area residents who moved to Israel after the 1967 war, Mr. Bennett lived in New York for four years before selling his Internet company, which deals with bank security, in 2005 for $145 million. He was chief of staff to Mr. Netanyahu as leader of the opposition, from 2006 to 2008, then ran the settlers’ council from January 2010 to January 2012.
